标签：#polymarket

description: Weather markets on Polymarket have become one of the hottest and most consistent...

After months of manual trading on Polymarket, I got tired of missing fast momentum moves on BTC, ETH,...

It’s the first estimate of how many Americans are sneaking onto Polymarket’s banned crypto-based platform.

Introduction Crypto prediction markets move fast. One interesting pattern I noticed while trading on Polymarket is that short-term crypto markets often follow Bitcoin's direction, especially near market expiration. When Bitcoin shows strong directional momentum, assets such as Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP frequently move in the same direction. This observation led me to build a simple momentum-based Polymarket trading bot. The core idea is straightforward: Monitor BTC Up/Down markets. Detect strong directional probability from the order book. Confirm that ETH, SOL, or XRP markets agree with Bitcoin. Enter positions when confidence is high. Hold until market settlement. Redeem winnings automatically. In this tutorial, you'll learn how to build a Python bot that: ✅ Fetches Polymarket market data ✅ Reads order book probabilities ✅ Detects BTC momentum signals ✅ Places automated buy orders ✅ Waits for settlement ✅ Redeems winning positions The goal is not to predict the future perfectly. The goal is to identify situations where multiple crypto prediction markets agree on direction and exploit that momentum. Why Bitcoin Momentum Matters Bitcoin is still the dominant asset in the cryptocurrency market. When BTC experiences a strong move: ETH often follows SOL often follows XRP often follows Other altcoins frequently move in the same direction This correlation is especially visible during short-duration prediction markets. For example: Market YES Probability BTC Up 0.95 ETH Up 0.93 SOL Up 0.92 When all three markets strongly agree on direction, there may be an opportunity to enter the same side before settlement. This is the basic principle behind the momentum bot. Strategy Overview The bot continuously watches several crypto markets. Step 1: Monitor BTC Market If BTC Up reaches: BTC Up > 0.90 or BTC Down > 0.90 the bot considers Bitcoin momentum strong. Step 2: Confirm Altcoin Agreement The bot then checks: ETH SOL XRP If at least one of these markets has the sam

Social media posts questioning the integrity of LA’s mayoral election were labeled “paid partnerships.” Then Kalshi and Polymarket told creators to delete them.

FBI: Googler who knew outcome of bets in advance made $1.2M profit on Polymarket.

According to the complaint, a Google engineer risked over $2.7 million on wagers related to Google's 2025 Year in Search campaign.

According to federal prosecutors, Michele Spagnuolo made more than $1 million on the prediction market platform using confidential information about Google Search traffic.